School of Medicine Publications and Presentations
Opposing Age-Related Trends in Absolute and Relative Risk of Adverse Health Outcomes Associated with Out-of-Office Blood Pressure
Participant-level meta-analyses assessed the age-specific relevance of office blood pressure to cardiovascular complications, but this information is lacking for out-of-office blood pressure. At baseline, daytime ambulatory (n=12 624) or home (n=5297) blood pressure were measured in 17 921 participants (51.3% women; mean age, 54.2 years) from 17 population cohorts. Subsequently, mortality and cardiovascular events were recorded. Using multivariable Cox regression, floating absolute risk was computed across 4 age bands (≤60, 61-70, 71-80, and >80 years). Over 236 491 person-years, 3855 people died and 2942 cardiovascular events occurred. From levels as low as 110/65 mm Hg, risk log-linearly increased with higher out-of-office systolic/diastolic blood pressure. From the youngest to the oldest age group, rates expressed per 1000 person-years increased (PP≤0.0033) from 1.42 (1.19-1.69) to 1.09 (1.05-1.12) and from 1.70 (1.51-1.92) to 1.12 (1.07-1.17), respectively. These age-related trends were similar for out-of-office diastolic pressure and were generally consistent in both sexes and across ethnicities. In conclusion, adverse outcomes were directly associated with out-of-office blood pressure in adults. At young age, the absolute risk associated with out-of-office blood pressure was low, but relative risk high, whereas with advancing age relative risk decreased and absolute risk increased. These observations highlight the need of a lifecourse approach for the management of hypertension.
Li, Y., Thijs, L., Zhang, Z. Y., Asayama, K., Hansen, T. W., Boggia, J., Björklund-Bodegård, K., Yang, W. Y., Niiranen, T. J., Ntineri, A., Wei, F. F., Kikuya, M., Ohkubo, T., Dolan, E., Hozawa, A., Tsuji, I., Stolarz-Skrzypek, K., Huang, Q. F., Melgarejo, J. D., Tikhonoff, V., … International Database on Ambulatory and Home Blood Pressure in Relation to Cardiovascular Outcome Investigators (2019). Opposing Age-Related Trends in Absolute and Relative Risk of Adverse Health Outcomes Associated With Out-of-Office Blood Pressure. Hypertension (Dallas, Tex. : 1979), 74(6), 1333–1342. https://doi.org/10.1161/HYPERTENSIONAHA.119.12958
© 2019 American Heart Association, Inc.