Economics and Finance Faculty Publications and Presentations

Document Type

Article

Publication Date

9-2017

Abstract

This paper uses the random-coefficients logit methodology that controls for potential endogeneity of prices and allows for general substitution patterns to estimate various demand systems. The estimation takes advantage of an original ticket-level revealed preference data set on travels from the New York City area to Toronto that contains prices and characteristics of not only flight choices but also of all non-booked alternative flights. Consistent with having higher valuations, our results show that travelers buying closer to departure have a higher utility of flying. Moreover, consumers’ heterogeneity decreases as the flight date nears. At the carrier level, we identify which carriers have more price-sensitive consumers and which carriers face greater competition. In addition, the results suggest that our multi-airport metropolitan area can be considered as a single market and that JFK and Newark are relatively closer substitutes. Overall, consumers are more willing to switch to alternative carriers than between airports or departure times.

Highlights

• Estimate general substitution patterns and control for endogenous prices.

• Use an original data set with prices and characteristics of all available flights.

• Identify the carriers that face relatively greater competition.

• Our multi-airport metropolitan area can be grouped as a single market.

• Greater switching across carriers than across airports or departure times.

Comments

Original published version available at https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tra.2017.05.034

Publication Title

Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice

DOI

10.1016/j.tra.2017.05.034

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