Date of Award
Master of Science (MS)
Applied Statistics and Data Science
Dr. Tamer Oraby
Dr. Zhijun Qiao
Dr. Santanu Chakraborty
Coronavirus Disease (COVID-19), caused by the SARS-CoV-2 virus, is an infectious disease that quickly became a pandemic spreading with different patterns in each country. Travel bans, lockdowns, social distancing, and non-essential business closures caused significant economic disruptions and stalled growth worldwide in the pandemic’s first year. In almost every country, public health officials forced and/or encouraged Nonpharmaceutical Interventions (NPIs) such as contact tracing, social distancing, masks, and quarantine. Human behavioral decision-making regarding social isolation significantly impedes global success in containing the pandemic. This thesis focuses on human behaviors and cultures related to the decision-making of social isolation during the pandemic. Within a COVID-19 disease transmission model, we created a conceptual and deterministic model of human behavior and cultures. This study emphasizes the importance of human behavior in successful disease control strategies. Additionally, we introduce a back engineering approach to determine whether cultures are explained by the courses of COVID-19 epidemics. We used a deep learning technique based on a convolutional neural network (CNN) to predict cultures from COVID-19 courses. In this system, CNN is used for deep feature extraction with ordinary convolution and with residual blocks. Also, a novel concept is introduced that converts tabular data into an image using matrix transformation and image processing validated by identifying some well-known function. Despite having a small and novel data set, we have achieved an 80-95% accuracy, depending on the cultural measures.
Rahman, Md Salman, "Could Cultures Determine the Course of Epidemics and Explain Waves of COVID-19?" (2022). Theses and Dissertations. 1089.